Some of the most extreme predictions of global warming are unlikely to materialise, new scientific research suggests, but the world is still likely to be in for a temperature rise of double that regarded as safe, reports Fiona Harvey at the UK Guardian. The researchers said warming was most likely to reach about 8 degrees Fahrenheit above pre-industrial levels if the past decade’s readings were taken into account. That would still lead to catastrophe across large swaths of the Earth, causing droughts, storms, floods and heatwaves, and drastic effects on agricultural productivity leading to secondary effects such as mass migration. Some climate change sceptics have suggested that because the highest global average temperature yet recorded was in 1998 climate change has stalled. The new study, published in the journal Nature Geoscience, shows a much longer “pause”, perhaps as long as 40 years, would be needed to suggest that the world was not warming rapidly. The lead study author said most of the recent warming had been absorbed by the oceans but this would change as the seas heat up. At that point, expect hotter, more extreme weather.
Join the swelling numbers of voters TELLING Congress they’ll vote for Clean Energy candidates here: http://signon.org/sign/we-are-the-clean-99?source=c.em.cp&r_by=487176 . This is an ongoing campaign (the next Congressional election is in 2 years!) so please, spread the word. It’s our way of telling Congress that a strong clean energy voting bloc is out there. This is how YOU can make a difference.
For more on Climate Change, check out my weekly column at the HuffingtonPost, Climate Change This Week : http://www.huffingtonpost.com/author/index.php?author=mary-ellen-harte
Climate change meltdown unlikely but human disaster looms, claims new research. Some of the most extreme predictions of global warming are unlikely to materialize, new scientific research has suggested, but the world is still likely to be in for a temperature rise of double that regarded as safe – leading to catastrophe across large swaths of the Earth. The Guardian http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2013/may/19/climate-change-meltdown-unlikely-research?CMP=twt_fd